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In 1965,87 percent of the region's population lived in these five counties and the percentage is forecast to increase to over 90 per- cent by the turn of the century. In 1965, the region's population was 702,800. By the year 2000 the population is forecast to be 1,201,000 and is forecast to increase to 1,767,200 persons by 2020. The predominately rural counties may experience a continued decrease in population in the next several decades, but by the turn of the century agricultural employment should stabil ize to allow some population growth in these counties. Agricultural output will increase from $\86 million in 1965 to $52\ mil lion by the end of the projection period. Region 1 wil I account for about 10 percent of the state's total agricultural output after the turn of the century. Employment in agriculture is forecast to be one-half of the 1965 agricultural employment by the year 2000. The forecast shows total mining output will decline between 1980 and 2000 but will be followed by an upward swing after the turn of the century. Employment in mining is forecast to be a tenth of the 1965 level. The region accounts for only three to five percent of the total state mining output after the turn of the century. Manufacturing output will account for over 40 percent of the total state output by the year 2000. Output will increase nearly fivefold between 1965 and the turn of the century and then will double between year 2000 and 2020. In contrast, manufacturing employment will nearly double, reflecting the increased productivity of the individual employees. Util ities, trade, service, and government, as reflected in output and employment, will follow the trend of services required to fulfil I the needs of individuals 1 iving within the region. Water requirements to meet the levels of economic activity forecast and described in the previous paragraphs are shown in Table 4-6. Total water requirements will increase two and a quarter times over the forecast period (1965 to 2020). Irrigation water requirements are expected to increase sixfold over the same period. This constitutes the largest growth in requirement for water in any of the categories. Mining shows a withdrawal of 22,800 acre-feet of water in 1965, followed by a decl ine to 3,800 acre-feet by 1980, and then a gradual increase to 10,700 acre-feet by the end of the forecast period. Most of the water used for mining in 1965 was 18,100 acre-feet withdrawn for sand and gravel operations in Wyandotte County. The requirement during the projection period was determined on the basis of average state unit requirements as outl ined in Appendix B. These forecasts will need to be examined periodically to ascertain if they actually material ize. Region I accounted for 37 percent of the water withdrawn for manufactur- ing in 1965. By the end of the projection period, the region will probably account for 55 percent of the statewide water requirement for manufacturing. The greatest water requirement in terms of quantity will be to satisfy the needs of the chemical and al I ied products sector. 34.