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and 17,200 by 2020. The machinery industries, which employed 14,000 workers in 1965, are forecast to employ 18,100 by 1980. 23,800 by 2000, and 31,400 by 2020. Historically, the most unstable Kansas industry has been transportation equipment manufacturing, particularly aerospace. This instability also impairs the accuracy of long-term forecasts. Despite this instabi] ity, a high rate of growth is projected for this group of industries. From its 1965 employment level of 37,100, employment is expected to reach 54,400 by 1980, 82,700 by 2000, and 104,400 by 2020. As indicated by Table 2-14, employment in transportation services will decline slightly because of the expected decl ine in employment in the railroad transportation sector. Motor freight transportation employ- ment is projected to increase sl ightly. Communications and utilities employment will exhibit moderate employ- ment increases as indicated in Table 2-15. Wholesale and retail trade employment is projected to grow rapidly compared with the state average for all industries. Services, a rapidly growing industry group nationally, will follow the national trend. Medical and health services wilt exhibit the largest increase. Government employment is projected to expand at a sizeable rate over the projection period. This is in I ine with the experience over the past decades which shows the effect of increasing demands for governmental services. Population Projections Population was determined from the employment projections. Labor force tends to be a stable part of the total population. Hence, labor force participation rates were used to convert the employment forecasts into population forecasts. Kansas employment projections developed fl'Om the ant icipated activity levels of the state's future economy resulted in the levels of employment shown in Table 2-19. The table shows an increase in employment from 748,000 people in 1965 to over 1,823,000 by the end of the forecast period. Converting employment into population resulted in the figures contained in Table 2-20. The figures indicate that the population is expected to increase from 2.2 million people in Kansas in 1965 to 3.3 million by the turn of the century and to 4.8 mil lion by the end of the projection period. 14.