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UUJ,OV;:) . Among the agri-business sectors, the food processing sectors will have output increases paralleling the growth in population. Meat packing will exhibit the greatest increase in output, while grain mill ing will grow at the least rapid pace. Mining, particularly of crude oil, is the only major state industry projected to decline significantly. The dominant influence on the future of the petroleum industry is a decl ine in economically feasible proven reserves. Unless a major change in technology or relative processes occurs, crude oil production will continue to fall. Table 2-2 indicates the rapid decl ine in crude oil production will continue after 19BO. Natural gas production should increase until the year 2000 and decl ine thereafter. The nation's insatiable appetite for energy may influence natural gas production depending upon its competitive price position and whether adequate reserves will be developed. Construction, a widely fluctuating industry, is expected to increase significantly. Building construction (including housing) will be stimulated by rising incomes and population along with strong government inducements. As indicated in Table 2-3, building construction is predicted to increase dramatically over its depressed state in 1965. Despite recent difficulties in the aircraft industry, manufacturing output is projected to increase at a rate above the national average for manufacturing industries. Most of this increase will be in "light" industries which are relatively labor intensive. Major exceptions to this will be in the rubber and metal fabricating industries which have exhibited recent high growth rates. The projected output levels for all manufacturing industries appear in Table 2-4. The future pattern of the aircraft manufacturing industry is the most difficult to predict because it has been the state's most unstable industry. The projections for the aircraft industry show a conrinuous moderate increase but the instabil ity of the industry over the past rwo decades underscores the uncertainty of this projection. Among the transportation sectors, the motor freight industry is projected to grow most rapidly. Rai Iroad .transportation is expected to grow more rapidly than in the recent past, but nonetheless, at a lower rate than its competitors. Communication and uti] ity industries wi 11 grow at a rate above the state average for al] indusrries. Wholesale and retai I trade will expand ;n tandem with population and income gains. Service sectors, expected to grow rapidly for the nation as a whole, will grow sl ightly less rapidly in Kansas. Tables 2-5 to 2-8 summarize the output projections for these sectors. 5.