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<br />m <br />co; <br />r-. <br />C".' <br /> <br />': <br /> <br />increases in ground water depletion) are expected to outweigh the slight water <br />quality degradation. <br /> <br />In the absence of CAP water, municipalities would continue to <br />expand ground water use to meet growing population demands. This would either <br />intensify overdrafting locally, or cause use of ground water sources of lesser <br />quality than existing sources. <br /> <br />5. Ground Water Model Projections <br /> <br />Recent estimates of surface-water diversions and ground water <br />pumping for irrigated agriculture in the CAP service area aggregate about <br />4.22 million acre-feet per year. Ground-water overdraft resulting from <br />agriculture and M&I ground-water pumping presently totals about 2.2 million <br />acre-feet (source). <br /> <br />The effect of CAP water will be twofold: first, the <br />enable certain existing activities, such as agriculture, to be <br />Second, the increased supply of water will accommodate the <br />population and economic growth without a commensurate increase <br />ground water resources. <br /> <br />water wi 11 <br />continued. <br />projected <br />in use of <br /> <br />Ground-water levels declines from 1923-1977 ranged from <br />200 feet to over 450 feet in the CAP service area (Water and Power 1979). <br />Recently, ground water levels have been dropping 3 to 8 feet per year in the <br />service area (Laney 1976). CAP deliveries will slow this rate of decline. <br />DWR projections indicate that future ground water level declines will be <br />generally 50 to 150 feet over the project period under any of the <br />alternatives, or about 1 to 3 feet per year. <br /> <br />In general, maximum differences among the alternative <br />allocations are in the 50-75 foot range over 50 years for roughly half of the <br />entities analyzed. These differences may be locally significant (see <br />Appendix F) but overall are not considered significant. <br /> <br />The ground water model was not run for the Proposed Acti on, <br />since the estimated water deliveries for the Proposed Action fall within the <br />range of Alternatives 3 and 4. Ground water response is assumed to fall <br />within the range of those two alternatives. Of the 80+ entities analyzed, in <br />only 2 cases (Avondale and Goodyear) is more than 50 feet of difference in <br />future ground water declines projected between Alternatives 3 and 4. <br /> <br />Total ground water pumping is projected to range from <br />60,830,000 acre-feet under Alternative 4 (Andrus Modified for M&I Use) to <br />68,622,000 acre-feet under No Action over the 50 year period (1985-2034). The <br />maximum difference among the alternatives, slightly less than 8 million acre- <br />feet over 50 years, is not considered to be significant when compared to the <br />reduction in future ground water pumping (at least 35 to 45 million acre-feet <br />of estimated non-Indian agricultural deliveries--see Table 1 on Projected CAP <br />water deliveries to each category of use under each of the alternatives). <br /> <br />:':~/:,~~:; <br />~ ;'y <br /> <br />7 <br />