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<br />ll'J~'~ ~J' 0 <br />.... v. :) <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />At the present time I don't see any feasible way to get better <br />estimates of shortages. It doesn't look like the idea of <br />plugging virgin flow estimates into the operation study model is <br />going to work out. We will keep thinking about this. (more <br />should be added by Mike Madigan) <br /> <br />Analyze Problem Areas - Some areas in the Phase I ~tudy with <br />t.' problems (such as the East River Basin [contains 7 ;'320 acres or <br />'. ~// 12.2% of total] which indicated that supply and demand conditions <br />.f' did not adequately represent observed shortages) could be <br />. ~ analyzed in more detail. Historical diversions (if they are <br />..'./ ,\, available) and computed return flows could be used instead of net <br />/ Iv!>) depletions to compute virgin flows. If the necessary historical <br />-id/ I data is available, this method should produce more accurate <br />""ff virgin flows than before. This method should enable irrigation <br />. shortages to be computed for this area which may give an <br />~ndication of what shortages would be for the rest of the basin. <br /> <br />Computerization of the Entire System - Quite possibly the entire <br />procedure for computing natural flows (maybe at the node <br />locations also) at different locations in the Gunnison Basin for <br />input into the computer operation study model could be <br />computerized into a single package without too much trouble. <br />The advantages for doing this would be to facilitate doing the <br />basic work involved, to be able to update the flows in the <br />... future, and to be able to easily and quickly make changes in the <br />future when better data (such as acreages, consumptive use, <br />correlations etc.) becomes available, <br /> <br />. <br />